2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 12:00
12.0644.8%
X3.5725.9%
23.1529.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
DWWDWWDWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Dresden
DLWLLWDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.50
Against
7.10
10.50
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

2.10goals per match
Dresden conceded1.80
Matchup

Dresden attack

1.40goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.10
10.50
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.90
Match total
3.10
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
23.90
Match total
21.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.40
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches454
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.8%41.9%-3.0 pp
Draw25.9%28.0%+2.1 pp
Away29.3%30.2%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

1.511.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
1-09.5%
2-19.3%
0-17.9%
0-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.444.52
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=454.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%26.3%–42.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%32.0%–48.6% CI
Away FT26.2%19.4%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals17.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away49.2%