2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-10 · 17:30
12.0844.5%
X3.5526.1%
23.1529.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fortuna Dusseldorf
LDWLWWWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Holstein Kiel
DLLDDDLLLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.00
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.40
Against
4.60
8.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

1.30goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded2.30
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.40goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.60
8.20
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.70
Match total
6.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
22.80
Match total
29.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches397
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.5%42.1%-2.5 pp
Draw26.1%27.7%+1.6 pp
Away29.4%30.2%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.601.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.1%
2-111.1%
1-07.8%
2-27.6%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.734.59
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=397.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.5%
Over 9.558.4%
Over 10.544.8%
Over 11.537.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.5%27.5%–46.4% CI
Draw FT42.7%33.3%–52.7% CI
Away FT20.8%13.9%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.1%
Away44.8%