2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-05 · 12:30
13.7724.5%
X3.7724.5%
21.8151.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Greuther Furth
DLWLDDLWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Paderborn
WWWLWLLDWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.50
1.90
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
6.30
Against
4.00
10.40
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.50
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Greuther Furth attack
1.60goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.10Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.50goals per matchGreuther Furth conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.00
10.40
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.00
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.00
Match total
25.80
Shots
9.60N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.20
On target
4.70
17%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.5%28.9%+4.4 pp
Draw24.5%23.0%-1.5 pp
Away51.0%48.1%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.0%
BTTS65.9%
Historical average
1.36–2.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.1%
1-19.6%
1-08.1%
2-27.4%
0-26.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.43–5.53
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.528.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%22.4%–57.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals11.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.8%
Away46.2%