2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-04-04 · 19:30
12.5436.4%
X3.4826.5%
22.4937.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dresden
DLLWLWDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Hertha
WLWWDDWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
2.40
1.50
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
2.20
1.90
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.00
Against
4.80
10.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.70
Total goals
4.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dresden attack

2.20goals per match
Hertha conceded1.60
Matchup

Hertha attack

2.40goals per match
Dresden conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.80
10.00
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.60
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.70
Match total
24.30

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
5.00
17%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches393
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%38.2%+1.8 pp
Draw26.5%27.7%+1.2 pp
Away37.1%34.1%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.534.6%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

1.511.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
2-18.7%
1-27.6%
1-07.4%
2-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.185.25
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=393.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.559.5%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches99
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.4%33.2%–52.3% CI
Draw FT34.3%25.7%–44.1% CI
Away FT23.2%16.0%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.8%
2+ goals52.5%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away50.5%