2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 12:00
11.7353.4%
X3.7924.4%
24.1722.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
WWWLLDWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Dresden
LDLWLLWDDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
5.20
Against
7.30
12.00
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.60
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

2.10goals per match
Dresden conceded1.80
Matchup

Dresden attack

1.30goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
7.30
12.00
Match total
11.80
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
25.00
Match total
22.50

Shots

18.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
6.90
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches333
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.4%58.6%+5.1 pp
Draw24.4%24.6%+0.2 pp
Away22.2%16.8%-5.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS60.4%

Historical average

1.991.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
2-110.5%
1-09.0%
2-09.0%
3-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.964.24
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=333.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.2%40.6%–61.7% CI
Draw FT35.4%25.9%–46.2% CI
Away FT13.4%7.7%–22.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.78

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals28.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.3%
Away46.3%