2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 12:00
12.3339.8%
X3.5226.3%
22.7333.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
WDDWLWWLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Nurnberg
LWDWLLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.50
Against
3.70
11.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

1.30goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.70
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.00goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.70
11.20
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.60
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.00
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches331
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%38.1%-1.7 pp
Draw26.3%26.9%+0.6 pp
Away33.9%35.0%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.531.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.9%
1-28.5%
2-28.2%
1-08.2%
2-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.73
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=331.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.9%23.7%–43.7% CI
Draw FT39.0%29.2%–49.8% CI
Away FT28.0%19.5%–38.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals43.9%
3+ goals24.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away47.6%