2. Bundesliga · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 12:00
12.3339.8%
X3.5226.3%
22.7333.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Holstein Kiel
WDDWLWWLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Nurnberg
LWDWLLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.70N=10
5.50
Against
3.70
11.20
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
1.30goals per matchNurnberg conceded1.70Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.00goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
3.70
11.20
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.60
Match total
24.90
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.00
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches331
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%38.1%-1.7 pp
Draw26.3%26.9%+0.6 pp
Away33.9%35.0%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS59.5%
Historical average
1.53–1.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-110.9%
1-28.5%
2-28.2%
1-08.2%
2-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.37–4.73
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=331.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.532.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.9%23.7%–43.7% CI
Draw FT39.0%29.2%–49.8% CI
Away FT28.0%19.5%–38.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals43.9%
3+ goals24.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.9%
Away47.6%