2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 14:30
14.3621.5%
X4.3321.7%
21.6556.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Karlsruhe
LWLLWWDWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Paderborn
DWDWWDDLWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.70
Against
3.60
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Karlsruhe attack
1.50goals per matchPaderborn conceded0.90Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.60goals per matchKarlsruhe conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.60
10.10
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.80
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.30
Match total
25.10
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
4.70
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%14.3%-7.2 pp
Draw21.7%28.6%+6.9 pp
Away56.8%57.1%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.578.6%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS64.3%
Historical average
1.29–2.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-221.4%
0-121.4%
2-114.3%
0-314.3%
3-37.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–5.07
Average total10.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.7%
Away85.7%