2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 14:30
14.3621.5%
X4.3321.7%
21.6556.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Karlsruhe
LWLLWWDWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Paderborn
DWDWWDDLWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.70
Against
3.60
10.10
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

1.50goals per match
Paderborn conceded0.90
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.60goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.60
10.10
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.80
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.30
Match total
25.10

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
4.70
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%14.3%-7.2 pp
Draw21.7%28.6%+6.9 pp
Away56.8%57.1%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.578.6%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

1.292.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-221.4%
0-121.4%
2-114.3%
0-314.3%
3-37.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.505.07
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT57.1%32.6%–78.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away85.7%