2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 14:30
11.4066.8%
X4.9119.1%
26.6314.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Darmstadt
WDWLLWWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Regensburg
DLLLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
2.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.00
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
2.70
2.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Darmstadt attack
1.70goals per matchRegensburg conceded2.70Matchup
Regensburg attack
0.50goals per matchDarmstadt conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.50
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
26.30
Match total
27.60
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.10
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.8%70.7%+3.9 pp
Draw19.1%19.0%-0.1 pp
Away14.1%10.3%-3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.550.9%
BTTS56.0%
Historical average
2.59–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-09.5%
3-08.6%
3-17.8%
2-16.9%
4-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.51–3.68
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.558.6%
Over 10.549.1%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.78
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals27.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.1%
Away38.9%