2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 19:30
11.3867.6%
X4.9918.7%
26.8413.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
DDWWDWWDLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ulm
DLDLLLDDLW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.90
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
3.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.20goals per match
Ulm conceded1.50
Matchup

Ulm attack

1.00goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.90
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.00
Match total
26.50

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
6.10
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches149
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.6%73.8%+6.2 pp
Draw18.7%19.5%+0.8 pp
Away13.6%6.7%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.0%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

2.480.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.7%
1-09.4%
3-09.4%
2-09.4%
3-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.393.54
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=149.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.7%34.4%–68.6% CI
Draw FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Away FT10.3%3.6%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals41.4%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.2%
Away24.1%