2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-09 · 17:30
15.1718.2%
X4.3321.8%
21.5760.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nurnberg
DWWWWLWLLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
FC Koln
WWLWLLWWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.50
10.40
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.50goals per matchFC Koln conceded0.90Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.80goals per matchNurnberg conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.50
10.40
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.40
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.40
Match total
25.30
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.20
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.2%17.2%-1.0 pp
Draw21.8%25.8%+4.0 pp
Away60.0%57.0%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS55.9%
Historical average
0.97–1.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.9%
1-111.8%
0-29.7%
2-18.6%
1-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.70–6.25
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals16.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away64.0%