2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-09 · 17:30
15.1718.2%
X4.3321.8%
21.5760.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
DWWWWLWLLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
FC Koln
WWLWLLWWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.20
Against
5.50
10.40
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.50goals per match
FC Koln conceded0.90
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.80goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.50
10.40
Match total
11.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.40
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.40
Match total
25.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.20
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.2%17.2%-1.0 pp
Draw21.8%25.8%+4.0 pp
Away60.0%57.0%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

0.971.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.9%
1-111.8%
0-29.7%
2-18.6%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.706.25
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%11.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away64.0%