2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 12:30
13.7125.3%
X3.8124.6%
21.8750.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
DDWWWWLWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Elversberg
LWWLWDDDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
0.50
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.50
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.90
Against
5.80
11.10
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
0.50
2.50
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.40goals per match
Elversberg conceded0.50
Matchup

Elversberg attack

1.30goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.80
11.10
Match total
11.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.20
Match total
4.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.70
Match total
23.70

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
4.50
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches215
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.3%29.3%+4.0 pp
Draw24.6%22.3%-2.3 pp
Away50.1%48.4%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

1.231.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.6%
1-110.2%
1-09.3%
0-17.4%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.345.43
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=215.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%24.2%–47.6% CI
Draw FT33.3%22.7%–45.9% CI
Away FT31.7%21.3%–44.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.7%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away50.0%