2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 12:30
11.4963.0%
X4.7919.6%
25.3917.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
DDDWWDWWDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Karlsruhe
LWLWLDLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.90
Against
6.30
10.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.20goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded2.10
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

1.30goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.30
10.50
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.70
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.30
Match total
22.30

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
6.00
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.0%69.0%+6.0 pp
Draw19.6%20.7%+1.1 pp
Away17.4%10.3%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.551.7%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

2.550.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
1-113.8%
6-010.3%
3-110.3%
2-26.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.554.38
Average total10.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.3%
Over 9.569.0%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.541.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away53.8%