2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-20 · 12:30
13.2329.0%
X3.4127.5%
22.1643.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ulm
LDDDWLDLWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Hertha
LWLDWLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.20
8.90
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ulm attack

1.00goals per match
Hertha conceded1.60
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.40goals per match
Ulm conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.20
8.90
Match total
11.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.30
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.40
Match total
22.20

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
3.80
On target
5.00
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches550
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%26.5%-2.5 pp
Draw27.5%28.7%+1.2 pp
Away43.4%44.7%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.131.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-211.1%
0-18.9%
0-28.7%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.635.13
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=550.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.4%18.3%–31.7% CI
Draw FT39.7%32.4%–47.6% CI
Away FT35.9%28.8%–43.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals49.4%
3+ goals21.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away58.3%