2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 12:00
13.4627.2%
X3.6725.6%
21.9947.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
WDDWWWWLWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Paderborn
LWDWDWWDDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.50
Against
3.80
10.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

2.00goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.30goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.80
10.70
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.60
Match total
24.80

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
5.50
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches174
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%33.3%+6.2 pp
Draw25.6%20.7%-4.9 pp
Away47.2%46.0%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.291.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.5%
1-111.5%
1-010.3%
2-18.0%
0-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.37
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.524.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%19.9%–45.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%21.7%–47.5% CI
Away FT35.4%23.4%–49.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.6%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals22.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away64.6%