2. Bundesliga · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 12:30
11.7453.9%
X3.9323.9%
24.2222.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paderborn
DWLLLLWWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
WWLDDWDDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
6.30
11.50
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.80goals per matchFortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.60Matchup
Fortuna Dusseldorf attack
1.50goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.30
11.50
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.70
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
23.10
Match total
21.80
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches216
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.9%57.9%+4.0 pp
Draw23.9%27.3%+3.4 pp
Away22.2%14.8%-7.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.544.0%
BTTS62.0%
Historical average
2.08–1.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.3%
2-09.3%
2-17.9%
3-17.4%
1-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.07–4.06
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=216.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.6%27.0%–53.7% CI
Draw FT41.7%28.8%–55.7% CI
Away FT18.8%10.2%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals35.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away56.3%