Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-25 · 19:45
11.5661.0%
X3.7225.6%
27.0913.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
DDLWDDDDDD
1W 8D 1L · 1.10 PPM
Lecce
LWLWDLLLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.90
Against
5.70
10.40
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
1.60goals per matchLecce conceded1.50Matchup
Lecce attack
1.10goals per matchLazio conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
5.70
10.40
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
23.70
Match total
24.10
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.70
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.0%59.1%-1.9 pp
Draw25.6%22.7%-2.9 pp
Away13.4%18.2%+4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS56.1%
Historical average
1.89–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.6%
2-110.6%
1-19.1%
3-17.6%
0-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.88–3.88
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.534.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals21.1%
3+ goals5.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.9%
Away42.1%