Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-24 · 19:45
11.2278.0%
X7.1013.4%
211.138.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DDWDWLWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Monza
LLLLLLLLLW
1W 0D 9L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.10
Against
5.80
11.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.60
2.70
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.50goals per match
Monza conceded2.60
Matchup

Monza attack

0.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.80
11.10
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
21.50
Match total
27.20

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
4.90
On target
2.40
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.0%71.7%-6.4 pp
Draw13.4%16.7%+3.3 pp
Away8.6%11.7%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.548.3%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

2.880.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.0%
3-010.0%
5-18.3%
1-08.3%
5-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.972.85
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away54.5%