Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-23 · 19:45
11.1979.9%
X6.9413.7%
214.746.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWWDDWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Cagliari
WDLDLLDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.50
Against
5.00
10.50
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.80goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.30
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.80goals per match
Napoli conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.00
10.50
Match total
7.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.00
Match total
2.70
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
19.70
Match total
23.80

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
5.50
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.9%84.8%+5.0 pp
Draw13.7%11.6%-2.1 pp
Away6.4%3.6%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

2.710.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.5%
2-011.6%
3-011.6%
4-08.9%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.722.52
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.2%44.9%–81.2% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals65.2%
3+ goals39.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.3%
Away39.1%