Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 19:45
12.3141.1%
X3.5426.9%
22.9732.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWWDWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Milan
WLWLLWLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.80
0.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.90
Against
4.10
8.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.10goals per match
Milan conceded1.20
Matchup

Milan attack

1.80goals per match
Roma conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.40
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.10
8.20
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.30
Match total
23.90

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.50
On target
5.30
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches554
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%38.1%-3.1 pp
Draw26.9%28.9%+2.0 pp
Away32.0%33.0%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS61.4%

Historical average

1.471.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-29.6%
1-09.4%
2-17.6%
2-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.324.69
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=553.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches141
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%29.4%–45.1% CI
Draw FT34.8%27.4%–42.9% CI
Away FT28.4%21.6%–36.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.1%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.6%
Away49.6%