Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 19:45
12.3141.1%
X3.5426.9%
22.9732.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
WWWDWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Milan
WLWLLWLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.80
0.40
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.90
Against
4.10
8.20
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.40
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
2.10goals per matchMilan conceded1.20Matchup
Milan attack
1.80goals per matchRoma conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.40
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.10
8.20
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.40N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.30
Match total
23.90
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.50
On target
5.30
16%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches554
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%38.1%-3.1 pp
Draw26.9%28.9%+2.0 pp
Away32.0%33.0%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS61.4%
Historical average
1.47–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.1%
1-29.6%
1-09.4%
2-17.6%
2-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.32–4.69
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=553.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches141
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%29.4%–45.1% CI
Draw FT34.8%27.4%–42.9% CI
Away FT28.4%21.6%–36.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.1%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals20.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.6%
Away49.6%