Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 19:45
16.3215.0%
X4.1922.6%
21.5262.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
LWDLLWDDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Napoli
WWWDDLDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Against
4.70
8.70
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.30goals per match
Napoli conceded0.90
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.50goals per match
Parma conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.70
8.70
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.30
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.80
Match total
25.60

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.40
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.0%16.7%+1.7 pp
Draw22.6%19.0%-3.6 pp
Away62.4%64.3%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.862.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-213.1%
0-113.1%
1-213.1%
0-39.5%
1-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.445.67
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.4%
Over 9.538.1%
Over 10.527.4%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI
Draw FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Away FT65.0%43.3%–81.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.0%
2+ goals45.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.0%
Away80.0%