Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 19:45
14.8819.4%
X3.6326.1%
21.7454.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
LLWLDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Empoli
LDLLLDLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.70
Against
5.00
8.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
2.20
2.30
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Monza attack

0.60goals per match
Empoli conceded2.20
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.80goals per match
Monza conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.00
8.10
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
2.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.10N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
30.10
Match total
26.60

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.20
On target
3.00
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches100
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.4%23.0%+3.6 pp
Draw26.1%33.0%+6.9 pp
Away54.5%44.0%-10.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS44.0%

Historical average

0.851.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.0%
0-215.0%
0-110.0%
1-010.0%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.555.74
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=100.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%14.6%–43.1% CI
Draw FT35.3%21.5%–52.1% CI
Away FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away55.9%