Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 19:45
11.8651.1%
X3.3828.1%
24.5820.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lecce
LDLDLLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Torino
WDDDLWDDLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.40
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Against
6.30
11.40
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lecce attack
0.40goals per matchTorino conceded1.30Matchup
Torino attack
1.20goals per matchLecce conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.30
11.40
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
24.00
Match total
25.20
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.00
On target
3.60
3%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches469
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.1%49.3%-1.9 pp
Draw28.1%30.1%+1.9 pp
Away20.8%20.7%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS44.6%
Historical average
1.37–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.6%
1-113.2%
2-010.9%
0-010.4%
2-19.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.38–3.85
Average total9.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=468.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.522.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.4%33.0%–48.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%34.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT17.9%12.7%–24.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.2%
Away35.3%