Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 19:45
11.8651.1%
X3.3828.1%
24.5820.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LDLDLLLDLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Torino
WDDDLWDDLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.40
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.50
Against
6.30
11.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.00
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.40goals per match
Torino conceded1.30
Matchup

Torino attack

1.20goals per match
Lecce conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.30
11.40
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
24.00
Match total
25.20

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.00
On target
3.60
3%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches469
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.1%49.3%-1.9 pp
Draw28.1%30.1%+1.9 pp
Away20.8%20.7%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

1.370.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.6%
1-113.2%
2-010.9%
0-010.4%
2-19.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.383.85
Average total9.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=468.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches156
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.4%33.0%–48.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%34.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT17.9%12.7%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.6%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.2%
Away35.3%