Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 19:45
12.7734.4%
X3.1230.5%
22.7135.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fiorentina
LDWWLWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Bologna
WDDDLWWLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
2.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
3.00
6.90
Total
6.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fiorentina attack
1.30goals per matchBologna conceded1.10Matchup
Bologna attack
0.90goals per matchFiorentina conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.00
6.90
Match total
6.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.90
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
27.90
Match total
30.30
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches899
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%32.4%-2.0 pp
Draw30.5%33.6%+3.1 pp
Away35.1%34.0%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS50.3%
Historical average
1.12–1.17
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
0-111.5%
0-011.3%
1-010.0%
2-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.78–4.70
Average total9.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=899.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches328
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.7%24.0%–33.8% CI
Draw FT44.2%38.9%–49.6% CI
Away FT27.1%22.6%–32.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals11.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.2%
Away46.0%