Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 19:45
12.7734.4%
X3.1230.5%
22.7135.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LDWWLWWWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Bologna
WDDDLWWLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

2.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
3.00
6.90
Total
6.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Bologna conceded1.10
Matchup

Bologna attack

0.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.00
6.90
Match total
6.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.90
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
27.90
Match total
30.30

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.90
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches899
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%32.4%-2.0 pp
Draw30.5%33.6%+3.1 pp
Away35.1%34.0%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.121.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
0-111.5%
0-011.3%
1-010.0%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.784.70
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=899.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches328
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT28.7%24.0%–33.8% CI
Draw FT44.2%38.9%–49.6% CI
Away FT27.1%22.6%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals11.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away46.0%