Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-18 · 19:45
12.5836.9%
X3.0131.6%
23.0231.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LLWLWLDWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Venezia
DLDLLDDDDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.30
1.90
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.90
Against
5.80
9.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.30goals per match
Venezia conceded1.40
Matchup

Venezia attack

1.00goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.80
9.40
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.60
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.80
Match total
25.90

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.50
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches224
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%31.3%-5.6 pp
Draw31.6%37.1%+5.4 pp
Away31.5%31.7%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS46.9%

Historical average

1.131.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-014.3%
1-09.4%
0-18.9%
0-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.56
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=223.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.8%12.5%–29.7% CI
Draw FT54.3%43.5%–64.7% CI
Away FT25.9%17.6%–36.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.5%
2+ goals30.9%
3+ goals9.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.5%
Away40.7%