Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 19:45
14.5420.9%
X3.7925.1%
21.7654.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
DLWWWDWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Atalanta
WDDWWWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.30
0.80
Conceded
0.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.60
Against
3.70
10.50
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.30
0.80
Goals conceded
0.30
1.90
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.10goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.30
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.30goals per match
Genoa conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.70
10.50
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.80
Match total
20.50

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches270
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.9%21.9%+0.9 pp
Draw25.1%22.2%-2.9 pp
Away54.0%55.9%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.031.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.0%
0-111.5%
0-29.3%
0-08.5%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.265.67
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=270.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%14.5%–32.4% CI
Draw FT34.6%25.1%–45.4% CI
Away FT43.2%33.0%–54.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals24.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.5%
Away59.3%