Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 19:45
14.5420.9%
X3.7925.1%
21.7654.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genoa
DLWWWDWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Atalanta
WDDWWWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.30
0.80
Conceded
0.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.60
Against
3.70
10.50
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.30
0.80
Goals conceded
0.30
1.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genoa attack
1.10goals per matchAtalanta conceded0.30Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.30goals per matchGenoa conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.70
10.50
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.80
Match total
20.50
Shots
10.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
10%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches270
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.9%21.9%+0.9 pp
Draw25.1%22.2%-2.9 pp
Away54.0%55.9%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.03–1.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.0%
0-111.5%
0-29.3%
0-08.5%
2-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.26–5.67
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=270.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%14.5%–32.4% CI
Draw FT34.6%25.1%–45.4% CI
Away FT43.2%33.0%–54.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.6%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals24.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home39.5%
Away59.3%