Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-12 · 19:45
11.9947.7%
X3.5426.8%
23.7125.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WDLDDDLLWD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Roma
LDDWWWWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.70
20%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.00
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.80N=10
2.90
Against
4.40
8.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
2.10
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.00goals per match
Roma conceded0.70
Matchup

Roma attack

1.10goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.40
8.90
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
4.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
21.50
Match total
24.80

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
4.70
On target
5.30
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches693
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%45.3%-2.3 pp
Draw26.8%28.0%+1.2 pp
Away25.6%26.7%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.529.9%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.601.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
1-09.2%
2-19.1%
1-28.4%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.684.33
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=693.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches195
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.4%29.0%–42.3% CI
Draw FT42.1%35.3%–49.1% CI
Away FT22.6%17.3%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.9%
2+ goals45.1%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away46.7%