Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-12 · 17:30
13.0631.0%
X3.2029.6%
22.4139.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Venezia
WDLDLDDLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Fiorentina
LDLWLLLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.50
10%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
0.70
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.90
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.30
Total goals
2.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Venezia attack

0.50goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.50
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.10goals per match
Venezia conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
29.50
Match total
24.90

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.00
On target
3.70
5%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches532
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%31.8%+0.8 pp
Draw29.6%27.3%-2.4 pp
Away39.4%41.0%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

1.101.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
0-111.5%
1-010.9%
0-08.8%
0-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.624.77
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=532.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.525.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.8%23.5%–36.9% CI
Draw FT38.2%31.4%–45.5% CI
Away FT32.0%25.6%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals41.6%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.8%
Away48.3%