Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 19:45
11.2973.4%
X5.0818.6%
211.888.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
LWWWDDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Genoa
WDLLDLDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
0.60
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.10
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.70
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.20
Total goals
1.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.60goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.60goals per match
Napoli conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.20
Match total
3.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
19.90
Match total
27.10

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.50
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.4%60.0%-13.4 pp
Draw18.6%20.0%+1.4 pp
Away8.0%20.0%+12.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.201.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.0%
3-020.0%
1-220.0%
2-210.0%
1-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

8.202.00
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals54.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away63.6%