Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 14:00
12.2242.9%
X3.0331.5%
23.7225.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
LLDLLWLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Lecce
LLWLWDLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.30
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
0.70
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.10
Against
6.20
8.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Verona attack

0.30goals per match
Lecce conceded1.80
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.10goals per match
Verona conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.20
8.60
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.90
Match total
22.80

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
2.70
On target
2.90
3%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches310
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%44.5%+1.6 pp
Draw31.5%31.0%-0.5 pp
Away25.6%24.5%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.330.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-013.5%
2-010.6%
0-09.7%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.33
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=310.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.3%27.6%–45.9% CI
Draw FT46.1%36.7%–55.7% CI
Away FT17.6%11.5%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals6.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.9%
Away38.2%