2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 14:30
12.2441.8%
X3.7525.0%
22.8233.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hannover
DDWWWDDDLW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Holstein Kiel
WWLDWDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
0.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.00
Against
7.30
10.50
Total
12.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
0.50
3.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hannover attack
1.90goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded0.50Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
2.00goals per matchHannover conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.30
10.50
Match total
12.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
23.10
Match total
20.40
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.10
On target
4.40
12%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%32.7%-9.1 pp
Draw25.0%34.6%+9.6 pp
Away33.2%32.7%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.544.2%
BTTS71.2%
Historical average
1.67–1.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.5%
0-09.6%
2-17.7%
1-37.7%
1-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.58–4.17
Average total10.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.1%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.548.1%
Over 11.536.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.5%
Away53.8%