2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 14:30
11.3370.5%
X5.6116.7%
27.3112.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hamburg
WLLLWLWWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Nurnberg
WLWLDLWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
8.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
7.40
12.60
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hamburg attack
1.70goals per matchNurnberg conceded1.90Matchup
Nurnberg attack
1.20goals per matchHamburg conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.40
12.60
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
22.40
Match total
22.20
Shots
16.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.80
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.5%66.7%-3.8 pp
Draw16.7%16.7%-0.0 pp
Away12.8%16.7%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.17–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.7%
0-28.3%
0-08.3%
4-08.3%
3-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.92–3.33
Average total10.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.558.3%
Over 11.550.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%34.7%–73.1% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT4.5%0.8%–21.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.82
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals22.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away31.8%