2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 14:30
11.3370.5%
X5.6116.7%
27.3112.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WLLLWLWWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Nurnberg
WLWLDLWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
7.40
12.60
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.70goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.90
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.20goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.40
12.60
Match total
12.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
22.40
Match total
22.20

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.80
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.5%66.7%-3.8 pp
Draw16.7%16.7%-0.0 pp
Away12.8%16.7%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.170.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
0-28.3%
0-08.3%
4-08.3%
3-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.923.33
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.558.3%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%34.7%–73.1% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT4.5%0.8%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away31.8%