2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 12:30
11.2078.5%
X6.7514.0%
212.567.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
DDDWWWWWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Osnabruck
LDLDLWLWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.30
Against
7.20
9.60
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.70goals per match
Osnabruck conceded2.00
Matchup

Osnabruck attack

1.00goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
7.20
9.60
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.40
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
21.60
Match total
26.60

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.70
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.5%78.8%+0.3 pp
Draw14.0%13.5%-0.5 pp
Away7.5%7.7%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.570.2%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

2.730.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.4%
2-011.5%
3-09.6%
1-19.6%
4-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.172.88
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.535.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.1%38.7%–76.7% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT9.1%2.5%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals40.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away40.9%