2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 19:30
12.4438.5%
X3.6026.1%
22.6535.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
WWWLWLWWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
WWDLDDWWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.70
1.30
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.70
1.90
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.20
Against
4.80
10.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.60
Total goals
4.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

2.30goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.40
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

2.70goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.80
10.60
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
22.90
Match total
21.50

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
7.40
On target
4.90
14%
Conversion
23%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.5%40.9%+2.4 pp
Draw26.1%18.2%-7.9 pp
Away35.4%40.9%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.547.7%
BTTS65.9%

Historical average

1.751.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.4%
0-111.4%
3-19.1%
2-26.8%
0-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.985.11
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away90.0%