Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 11:30
11.4864.2%
X4.3521.8%
26.8014.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
LDDLWWWLLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Monza
LLLLLLLLLL
0W 0D 10L · 0.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
2.70
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.20
Against
5.30
9.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
2.70
2.50
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.10goals per match
Monza conceded2.70
Matchup

Monza attack

0.60goals per match
Udinese conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.30
9.70
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.20
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
26.50
Match total
27.40

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.40
On target
2.30
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.2%69.2%+5.0 pp
Draw21.8%16.4%-5.5 pp
Away14.0%14.5%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

2.020.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.0%
2-012.6%
2-111.2%
3-010.3%
1-110.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.383.45
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.9%46.5%–73.6% CI
Draw FT23.9%13.9%–37.9% CI
Away FT15.2%7.6%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.3%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.1%
Away41.3%