2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 12:00
12.6136.0%
X3.6725.6%
22.4538.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
LLWDDWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Elversberg
WLLLDLWLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
2.00
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.80
Against
4.60
11.00
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded
2.50
2.80
Total goals
4.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

0.80goals per match
Elversberg conceded2.50
Matchup

Elversberg attack

1.60goals per match
Nurnberg conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.80
Corners against
4.60
11.00
Match total
7.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.90
Match total
20.90

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.50
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%35.7%-0.3 pp
Draw25.6%31.0%+5.3 pp
Away38.4%33.3%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.545.2%
BTTS71.4%

Historical average

1.761.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
3-19.5%
2-29.5%
2-17.1%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.215.00
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.540.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away80.0%