2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 12:00
12.6136.0%
X3.6725.6%
22.4538.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nurnberg
LLWDDWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Elversberg
WLLLDLWLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.60
2.00
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.80
Against
4.60
11.00
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded
2.50
2.80
Total goals
4.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nurnberg attack
0.80goals per matchElversberg conceded2.50Matchup
Elversberg attack
1.60goals per matchNurnberg conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.80
Corners against
4.60
11.00
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.90
Match total
20.90
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.50
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%35.7%-0.3 pp
Draw25.6%31.0%+5.3 pp
Away38.4%33.3%-5.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.545.2%
BTTS71.4%
Historical average
1.76–1.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
3-19.5%
2-29.5%
2-17.1%
1-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–5.00
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.540.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away80.0%