2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-10 · 17:30
13.4727.2%
X4.3821.5%
21.8451.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
WWLWLDLLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Hamburg
LDWWWDLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.90
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.50
Against
4.70
11.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.50goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.40
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.90goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.70
11.50
Match total
9.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.60
Match total
4.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
20.60
Match total
24.60

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
5.90
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%18.2%-9.0 pp
Draw21.5%27.3%+5.7 pp
Away51.3%54.5%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

1.091.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
2-318.2%
0-49.1%
2-29.1%
1-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.645.27
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.536.4%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals21.4%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away50.0%