2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 12:30
13.3128.4%
X3.7625.0%
22.0146.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Wehen
WWLWDLDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Holstein Kiel
DWWLDWDWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
2.00
1.70
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.80N=10
6.40
Against
7.50
11.30
Total
13.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.70
Goals conceded
0.60
3.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Wehen attack
1.30goals per matchHolstein Kiel conceded0.60Matchup
Holstein Kiel attack
2.00goals per matchWehen conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
6.40
Corners against
7.50
11.30
Match total
13.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
19.60
Match total
21.60
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.40
On target
5.00
10%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%27.8%-0.6 pp
Draw25.0%37.0%+12.1 pp
Away46.7%35.2%-11.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS72.2%
Historical average
1.50–1.65
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.5%
2-211.1%
1-211.1%
3-17.4%
2-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.98–4.96
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.535.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.84
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals31.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.9%
Away63.2%