2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 12:30
12.0645.5%
X3.7425.1%
23.1829.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hannover
WDDWWWDDDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Paderborn
LWLWDWWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hannover attack
1.80goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.50Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.70goals per matchHannover conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.10
Match total
22.90
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
6.10
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%39.4%-6.1 pp
Draw25.1%24.5%-0.6 pp
Away29.5%36.2%+6.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS56.4%
Historical average
1.59–1.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-210.6%
0-09.6%
1-07.4%
2-16.4%
2-26.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.71–4.50
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.534.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Away FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home39.1%
Away30.4%