2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 12:30
12.0645.5%
X3.7425.1%
23.1829.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hannover
WDDWWWDDDL
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Paderborn
LWLWDWWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.00
10.30
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hannover attack

1.80goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.50
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.70goals per match
Hannover conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.20
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.00
10.30
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.10
Match total
22.90

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
6.10
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.5%39.4%-6.1 pp
Draw25.1%24.5%-0.6 pp
Away29.5%36.2%+6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.538.3%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.591.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-210.6%
0-09.6%
1-07.4%
2-16.4%
2-26.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.714.50
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Draw FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Away FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.9%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away30.4%