2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 12:30
12.4438.4%
X3.7425.1%
22.5736.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Elversberg
LWLDWWLLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Hertha
LDDWLWDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.40
Against
6.50
9.70
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Elversberg attack

1.20goals per match
Hertha conceded1.80
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.40goals per match
Elversberg conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.50
9.70
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.60
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
20.70
Match total
23.10

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.90
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%35.0%-3.4 pp
Draw25.1%10.0%-15.1 pp
Away36.5%55.0%+18.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS75.0%

Historical average

1.751.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.0%
2-110.0%
0-110.0%
1-310.0%
2-25.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.90
Average total10.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%6.2%–33.5% CI
Draw FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI
Away FT61.5%42.5%–77.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals34.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away84.6%