2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-03 · 17:30
12.2142.6%
X3.6925.5%
22.9531.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WWLLLWLWWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
St Pauli
WWDWLWLWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.50
Against
4.20
13.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

1.80goals per match
St Pauli conceded1.40
Matchup

St Pauli attack

1.80goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.20
13.00
Match total
9.20
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
22.60
Match total
19.40

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
5.90
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%39.5%-3.1 pp
Draw25.5%26.3%+0.8 pp
Away31.9%34.2%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.540.1%
BTTS61.8%

Historical average

1.591.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-011.2%
1-29.9%
1-18.6%
1-07.9%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.89
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.7%
Over 9.563.8%
Over 10.547.4%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.6%20.5%–47.5% CI
Draw FT48.8%34.6%–63.2% CI
Away FT18.6%9.7%–32.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.5%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away34.9%