2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-05-03 · 17:30
11.3569.6%
X5.2318.0%
27.5612.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fortuna Dusseldorf
WLWLLDWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Nurnberg
WWLWLDLWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.60
Against
7.60
9.20
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Fortuna Dusseldorf attack

1.90goals per match
Nurnberg conceded1.60
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.30goals per match
Fortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
7.60
9.20
Match total
11.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.80
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
19.50
Match total
22.20

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
5.20
On target
4.40
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.6%78.2%+8.6 pp
Draw18.0%14.1%-3.9 pp
Away12.4%7.7%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.543.6%
BTTS62.8%

Historical average

2.490.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
3-112.8%
2-011.5%
1-09.0%
1-16.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.633.64
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.561.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.542.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.4%46.0%–84.6% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals26.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.9%
Away47.4%