2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 12:30
13.1729.7%
X3.7924.8%
22.0745.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
LLLWDDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Karlsruhe
DLDDWLWLDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.50
2.10
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.70
Against
6.90
11.00
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
2.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

0.90goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded1.40
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

1.50goals per match
Nurnberg conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.70
Corners against
6.90
11.00
Match total
12.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.80
Match total
3.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.50
Match total
20.70

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.60
On target
4.90
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%30.7%+1.0 pp
Draw24.8%33.3%+8.5 pp
Away45.5%36.0%-9.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS74.7%

Historical average

1.601.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
2-212.0%
2-110.7%
0-29.3%
1-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.015.89
Average total10.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.3%
Over 9.562.7%
Over 10.549.3%
Over 11.537.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals73.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away60.0%