2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 19:30
12.8033.6%
X3.6325.9%
22.3240.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Schalke 04
LWDLWWWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Fortuna Dusseldorf
LWWDLDDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
2.60
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.10
Against
4.70
10.20
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Schalke 04 attack
1.70goals per matchFortuna Dusseldorf conceded1.40Matchup
Fortuna Dusseldorf attack
2.60goals per matchSchalke 04 conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.70
10.20
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.40
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.20
Match total
22.30
Shots
16.70N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.30
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
23%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%32.1%-1.5 pp
Draw25.9%35.9%+10.0 pp
Away40.5%32.1%-8.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.535.9%
BTTS67.9%
Historical average
1.50–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.9%
1-211.5%
2-210.3%
3-16.4%
1-06.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.68–4.82
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.528.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.7%10.1%–43.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals31.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.1%
Away63.6%