2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 12:00
11.9348.8%
X3.9623.8%
23.4427.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Paderborn
LWWLWLDLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Elversberg
WWLLLDLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
8.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.60
Against
4.60
12.30
Total
8.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
2.30
3.00
Total goals
4.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Paderborn attack
1.30goals per matchElversberg conceded2.30Matchup
Elversberg attack
1.70goals per matchPaderborn conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.60
12.30
Match total
8.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
21.60
Match total
22.00
Shots
17.50N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
6.30
On target
5.20
7%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%37.5%-11.3 pp
Draw23.8%31.3%+7.5 pp
Away27.4%31.3%+3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS68.8%
Historical average
1.59–1.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
1-212.5%
3-29.4%
2-29.4%
0-19.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.47–4.28
Average total10.75
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.534.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.3%
Away37.5%