2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 12:00
11.9348.8%
X3.9623.8%
23.4427.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
LWWLWLDLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Elversberg
WWLLLDLWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.70
1.70
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.60
Against
4.60
12.30
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.70
Goals conceded
2.30
3.00
Total goals
4.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.30goals per match
Elversberg conceded2.30
Matchup

Elversberg attack

1.70goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.60
12.30
Match total
8.10
100%10/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
21.60
Match total
22.00

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
6.30
On target
5.20
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches32
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%37.5%-11.3 pp
Draw23.8%31.3%+7.5 pp
Away27.4%31.3%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS68.8%

Historical average

1.591.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-212.5%
3-29.4%
2-29.4%
0-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.474.28
Average total10.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=32.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.3%
Away37.5%