2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 12:00
11.7653.7%
X4.0823.2%
24.0923.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Holstein Kiel
LWWWLWLWWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Kaiserslautern
LLLLLDWDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
10.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
3.40
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

2.20goals per match
Kaiserslautern conceded1.80
Matchup

Kaiserslautern attack

1.10goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
10.60
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
22.60
Match total
23.10

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
6.50
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.7%54.2%+0.5 pp
Draw23.2%23.7%+0.6 pp
Away23.1%22.0%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS61.0%

Historical average

1.951.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
1-111.9%
2-010.2%
1-28.5%
3-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.14
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away53.8%