2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 19:30
12.0446.2%
X3.8624.4%
23.2029.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamburg
WWWLLLWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Holstein Kiel
WDWWLDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.20
1.40
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.80
Against
7.10
12.60
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.20
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
3.40
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Hamburg attack

2.00goals per match
Holstein Kiel conceded0.70
Matchup

Holstein Kiel attack

2.20goals per match
Hamburg conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.10
12.60
Match total
12.70
100%10/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
100%10/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.00
Match total
22.30

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
5.90
On target
5.20
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%36.4%-9.8 pp
Draw24.4%36.4%+12.0 pp
Away29.4%27.3%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.527.3%
BTTS81.8%

Historical average

1.641.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-127.3%
1-218.2%
4-39.1%
1-39.1%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.093.82
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away57.1%