Serie A · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 14:00
11.7554.3%
X3.7625.3%
24.6620.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Como
WLWLLWDDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Cagliari
LWDLDLLDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.50
Against
4.90
8.10
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Como attack

1.50goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.20
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.80goals per match
Como conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.90
8.10
Match total
8.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.00
Match total
2.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.80
Match total
23.10

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
5.60
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches707
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%55.6%+1.3 pp
Draw25.3%25.6%+0.3 pp
Away20.4%18.8%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

1.720.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
1-012.6%
1-111.3%
2-09.8%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.95
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=707.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches215
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT43.7%37.3%–50.4% CI
Draw FT39.1%32.8%–45.7% CI
Away FT17.2%12.8%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals14.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.9%
Away40.0%