2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-19 · 17:30
12.9931.6%
X3.6725.7%
22.2142.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nurnberg
WLLLWDDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Paderborn
WLWLWDWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.80
2.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.70
Against
5.50
11.30
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.80
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Nurnberg attack

1.20goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.60
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.80goals per match
Nurnberg conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.70
Corners against
5.50
11.30
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.70
Match total
4.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.60
Match total
22.40

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.70
On target
4.40
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%26.8%-4.8 pp
Draw25.7%39.2%+13.5 pp
Away42.7%34.0%-8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS73.2%

Historical average

1.461.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-122.7%
2-210.3%
1-29.3%
2-17.2%
0-26.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.715.12
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.9%–70.1% CI
Away FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals65.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away65.0%