2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 12:30
11.4664.5%
X4.5920.5%
26.3114.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Pauli
WWDDDWWWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Elversberg
DWWLLLDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.30
Against
5.20
10.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

St Pauli attack

2.00goals per match
Elversberg conceded2.10
Matchup

Elversberg attack

1.40goals per match
St Pauli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.20
10.00
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.20
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
20.70
Match total
22.90

Shots

17.30N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
6.30
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches163
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.5%65.6%+1.1 pp
Draw20.5%23.3%+2.8 pp
Away14.9%11.0%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

2.240.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.3%
0-09.8%
3-19.2%
3-08.6%
1-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.943.30
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=163.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.545.4%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.6%29.5%–56.7% CI
Draw FT46.8%33.3%–60.8% CI
Away FT10.6%4.6%–22.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals46.8%
3+ goals21.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.3%
Away40.4%