2. Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 12:00
12.3340.4%
X3.6925.5%
22.7634.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paderborn
DLWWLWLDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Karlsruhe
LDLDDWLWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.70
1.80
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.90
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.00
Against
7.00
12.20
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Paderborn attack

1.40goals per match
Karlsruhe conceded1.70
Matchup

Karlsruhe attack

1.70goals per match
Paderborn conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.00
12.20
Match total
12.50
100%10/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.20
Match total
3.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
21.70
Match total
21.20

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
6.30
On target
4.90
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%34.1%-6.3 pp
Draw25.5%29.4%+3.9 pp
Away34.1%36.5%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS63.5%

Historical average

1.481.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.3%
1-110.6%
0-09.4%
2-28.2%
1-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.744.78
Average total10.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.8%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.537.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.9%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away42.1%